Jonathan Pegg
Literary Agency

The Chronicles of Norm


Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter - Risk The Norm ChroniclesMeet Norm. He's 31, 5'9", just over 13 stone, and works a 39 hour week. He likes a drink, doesn't do enough exercise and occasionally treats himself to a bar of chocolate (milk). He's a pretty average kind of guy. In fact, he is the average guy in this clever and unusual take on statistical risk, chance, and how these two factors affect our everyday choices. Watch as Norm (who, like all average specimens, feels himself to be uniquely special), and his friends careful Prudence and reckless Kelvin, turns to statistics to help him in life's endless series of choices - should I fly or take the train? Have a baby? Another drink? Or another sausage? Do a charity skydive or get a lift on a motorbike?

Because chance and risk aren't just about numbers - it's about what we believe, who we trust and how we feel about the world around us. What we do, or don't do, has as much do with gut instinct as hard facts, with enjoyment as understanding. If you've ever wondered what the statistics in tabloid scare stories really mean, how dangerous horse-riding is compared to class-A drugs, or what governs coincidence, you will find it all here.

From a world expert in risk and the bestselling author of The Tiger That Isn't (and creator of BBC Radio 4's More or Less), this is a commonsense (and wildly entertaining) guide to personal risk and decoding the statistics that represent it.

 UK Publisher: Profile Books Ltd; 2013


"A very funny book ... this is one of those maths books that claims to be self-help, and on the evidence presented here, we are in dire need of it".

"A witty, insightful, educational and wholly original book - and a wonderful achievement. Read it!"
Tim Harford, author of The Undercover Economist and presenter of "More or Less" on BBC Radio 4

Daily Mail

"A fast-paced, whizz-bang style".
The Times

"The statistics are presented with admirable lucidity, using an ingenious method devised by the authors, and may serve to reassure more neurotic readers ... Witty and illuminating, The Norm Chronicles is essential reading for anyone wanting to know whether they should try skydiving, or accept that third glass of wine".
Financial Times

"lluminating ... eye-catching ... a real achievement"
The Economist

"Perfectly pitched...laugh-out-loud funny...written with wit and elegance."



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 michael blastland and david spielgelhalter - risk